Q. How often do 100/1 shots win and are there any trainers or jockeys who win regularly at that price?
A. Here are the stats for exactly 100/1 shots on the flat turf.
Flat Turf past 10 Years 100/1 SP
26 wins from 9043, 0.29% strike rate, 0.29 A/E, 71% loss
There could be many 100/1 shots in a race so the strike rate figure is a bit meaningless. The most significant figures are the ROI (71% loss) and the A/E index (0.29) which is very low.
What stands out is that the number of runners at 100/1 has rocketed over the years. This is partly due to the increase in the number of races year on year, but is mostly due to the advent of betting exchanges.
98 0 from 356
99 0 from 602
00 1 from 467, 0.2%, 0.22, 78% loss
01 3 from 986, 0.3%, 0.31, 69% loss
02 0 from 891
03 4 from 1292, 0.3%, 0.31, 69% loss
04 7 from 1266, 0.6%, 0.56, 44% loss
05 6 from 1301, 0.4%, 0.43, 57% loss
06 3 from 1226, 0.2%, 0.25, 75% loss
07 2 from 266, 0.8%, 0.76, 24% loss
With outsiders betting exchanges push out prices to realistic values and this forces bookies to follow those prices.
Previously bookies would be really stingy on an outsider and fail to offer a realistic price. They may have offered 50/1 on something which really should have been 100/1 etc. Now with the free market betting exchanges where some layers are willing to offer the 50/1 at 150, 200 then bookies tend to follow suit.
Note that this year is showing a blip but that is nothing unusual. Rather than have a few spread throughout the year there has been two in a short period of time. What is expected now is that there may not be another 100/1 winner until much later in the year.
On average the strike rate is around 0.3% so it is expected that there will be many runners, but few winners to get back to that level.
Out of all those runners only R Hannon has had two 100/1 winners.
One jockey has had three 100/1 winners. One in each year of 2004, 2005 and 2006. Is L Keniry going to have another in 2007?
FAQs
On average the strike rate is around 0.3% so it is expected that there will be many runners, but few winners to get back to that level. Out of all those runners only R Hannon has had two 100/1 winners. One jockey has had three 100/1 winners. One in each year of 2004, 2005 and 2006.
Has a 100-1 horse ever won? ›
The longest odds for a winning horse at the Grand National is 100/1 and was achieved by Tipperary Tim (1928), Gregalach (1929), Caughoo (1947), Foinavon (1967) and Mon Mome (2009).
How often does the favorite win in horse racing? ›
While a favorite has popularity, it also often has a low payoff; most often a $3-$6 range for a $2 bet. However, there's good news for your horse betting strategy: Favorites win about 40 percent of the time in American Quarter Horse racing.
What is the top 3 bet in horse racing? ›
A show bet pays dividends if the horse you wager on finishes in one of the top three positions. Same as a place bet, whether the horse finishes in first . This is a Fixed Odds Place bet. You get the fixed amount* if your selection finishes in the top three.
What horse bet has the highest odds? ›
The "longshots" have the least amount of money wagered on them and therefore have the highest odds.
How often do 100 1 horses win? ›
On average the strike rate is around 0.3% so it is expected that there will be many runners, but few winners to get back to that level. Out of all those runners only R Hannon has had two 100/1 winners. One jockey has had three 100/1 winners. One in each year of 2004, 2005 and 2006.
Has a 200 1 horse ever won? ›
Absolute Steel joins the exclusive ranks of those to have won at 200-1, including Lights of Broadway at Taunton in 2012 and Dandy Flame at Wolverhampton in 2016. In 2022 Sawbuck became the longest-priced winner in the history of jump racing with victory at odds of 300-1 at Irish track Punchestown.
What age horse wins the most? ›
MOST COMMON WINNING AGE
Nine-year-olds have won 45 of the 169 runnings of the Grand National where the winner's age was recorded.
What is the luckiest number in horse racing? ›
In the steeplechase, the numbers between 11 and 29 have proved to be the most successful, supplying 12 winners over this period. 35 and 29, 13 and 10 lead the way, however, with these numbers claiming victory twice each so far.
Do horses enjoy winning races? ›
From a horse's perspective, there are few intrinsic rewards for winning a race. Reaching the end might mean relief from the pressure to keep galloping at high speed and hits from the jockey's whip, but the same is true for all the horses once they pass the finishing post.
If you like a horse in a race, you can bet it “across the board,” which means a WIN, PLACE and SHOW bet on the same horse. If it crosses the finish line first, you win all three bets. The safest bet you can make is a SHOW bet on the favorite. While it's the most likely to hit, it delivers a small return.
What is the easiest bet to win in horse racing? ›
A Win wager or Win bet is the easiest bet you can make in racing: simply pick the horse you think will cross the finishing line first. If your horse wins: you win. If your horse doesn't win: you don't win.
What is the most profitable horse racing bet? ›
In conclusion, the most profitable horse racing strategy is value betting. It involves identifying discrepancies between a bettor's estimation of a horse's chance of winning and the odds provided by the bookmaker. By taking advantage of these apparent errors, bettors can maximize profits with higher chances of winning.
What is the 80/20 rule in horse racing? ›
Bookmakers primarily in North America permit you to bet on a horse to finish second, or third, or wherever, as well as first. This is highly useful for the 80/20 rule. Here, you bet 80% of your stake on the horse finishing second (or within the places) and 20% of your stake on it winning the race.
What is the hardest bet to win in horse racing? ›
harder the bet is to win, the chances are much higher of a bigger payout. Don't Back Favorites for a Win Or a Place (Don't Back Longshots Either)..Superfecta: The most difficult of the single-race exotics, the Superfecta, requires the bettor to predict the first four finishers, in order.
How much does a $2 superfecta box cost? ›
As the basic bet is one combination, a $2 Superfecta costs just that, $2. You can place a Superfecta Part Wheel under the same rules as above or a Superfecta Key meaning you can nominate one horse as your "sure thing" combined with a number of horses to finish second, third and fourth.
When was the last time a 100-1 horse won the Grand National? ›
100/1 Mon Mome (2009), Foinavon (1967), Caughoo (1947), Gregalach (1929) and Tipperary Tim (1928).
Has a 50 1 horse ever won? ›
Giacomo (foaled February 16, 2002 in Kentucky) is a champion American Thoroughbred racehorse who won the 2005 Kentucky Derby at 50–1 odds.
Has the worst odds horse ever won the Kentucky Derby? ›
Donerail (1913)
Hayes, Donerail remains the biggest outsider to ever win the Run for the Roses. In the race itself, Donerail came from off the pace to swoop late and win by just half a length.
Has any horse beat Secretariat's Records? ›
Secretariat set records that are still in place today. Though other horses have been compared to Secretariat, none have beaten the times set by the remarkable racehorse. Ashlyn Messier is a writer for Fox News Digital.
